When Trump leads us to yet another defeat!
Donald Trump may very well win the Republican nomination in Milwaukee this July but he cannot beat Joe Biden in November. Hellz bellz, he already lost to the doddering old fool once already, didn’t he? And if he stole it, what’s to stop his stealing it a second time? The My Pillow Guy?
Memo to Capitol Police, the National Guard, Navy Seal Team 6, and the 101st Airborne: Cancel all leave for the week of January 6, 2025.
The most savage take down since Winston Churchill told Lady Astor he would happily drink the poison she would put in his cup if they were married. Of U.S. Sen. Tim Scott, Christian Schneider scalded:
Rarely do we get to see a man’s dignity leave his body in real time, but on Tuesday night, there was South Carolina senator Tim Scott, clapping along as Donald Trump hurled insults at Nikki Haley, whom he had just defeated in the New Hampshire primary. … … if you do bow down and give yourself to Trump, he will inevitably knife you in the back while you are kneeling.
Trump lost Wisconsin (sorry Janel Brandtjen) because he alienated the Republican ladies who lunch in the Milwaukee suburbs.
In New Hampshire, 21% of Republicans said they would not vote for him if he were the nominee. In Iowa, 15% of Republicans said they wouldn’t vote for Trump in the general election. A whopping 68% of independents who voted in the Republican primary said that they will not vote for him in the general. … If that number is remotely representative of independents nationally, Trump’s chances in a two-person race are dismal. As the Journal reports, Trump won independents by 4 points in 2016, but lost them by 13 points in 2020.
— Jonah Goldberg in The Dispatch
We repeat a point made at a previous Werkes: Over 20 of Trump’s former cabinet and cabinet-level appointees disdain the man. People like former AG Bill Barr, Education Secretary Betsy DeVos, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis — his own vice president! Not even Nixon had that many defectors! To that, former federal prosecutor Andrew McCarthy adds:
As the most known quantity in history who has already been President for four years, Trump is running as a quasi-incumbent. … When incumbents seek reelection, they should get close to 100% of the vote from their own putative supporters. Trump is barely getting half — 51% last week in Iowa, 54% in New Hampshire (where independents as well as nominal Republicans were eligible to vote). … Democrats haven’t even started the messaging onslaught against Trump that is coming — to say nothing of the criminal trials. …
— Andrew McCarthy in National Review
→ “After Trump’s NH win, Biden gets the opponent he wants.” — Politico
Mr. McCarthy gets the Bottom Line: “Trump is obviously hell-bent on chasing away the voters he needs. By now it’s manifest: He’d rather be worshiped by a small grievance community.”
30 responses to “We’re headed for another January 6”
[…] This post originally appeared at https://davidblaska.com/2024/01/25/were-headed-for-another-january-6/ […]
You are disregarding poll results. Biden can’t win.
I’m thankful we have Free Speech X instead of FBI Twitter for this campaign.
If you like Nikki so much why are you likening her to a dog in the sidebar? Freudian slip?
Pure projection on your part. Here in Wisconsin, we say “Go Pack, GO!”
Yeah, poll results like those that said Trump couldn’t win in 2016…
It’s just simple logic, no need for polling. Trump lost to Biden once already. For every negative there is on Biden, there’s an equal or greater negative on an issue for Trump.
It’s absolutely terrible that our political system forces us into these types of elections. Rather than fretting about the horrible candidates (too late for that now), I encourage all to consider changes to our political process that will discourage us from being in this situation in the first place.
And if our country’s success is dependent on 140 character social media posts in a corporate controlled “free speech” cesspool, we’re doomed. Please type as freely as you’d like, it helps us target ads and paid content to you.
“It’s simple logic”
No, it’s simpleton logic. Things change. I think you know this. But yes, polls can be wrong.
Free speech doesn’t guarantee success but would you rather not have it? And as far as a cesspool yup you’re going to risk seeing things that offend you. More importantly perhaps is you will say things that offend others and you will get to keep saying those things. No one is going to carpet the world for you… put on a good pair of shoes.
As for X being 140 characters… that is dead and gone. I encourage you to check it out. Start with Glenn Greenwald.
100% in agreement with you that our system guarantees that we will get the worst candidates to choose from. I think the mental blocks to bad behavior have all fallen by the wayside. I fear the only way out will be for us to get to hard times, which is a sure thing with our ballooning national debt.
Sure, I value free speech. But X is a corporation. You don’t have free speech rights on someone else’s property. They may let things go on there, but only so long as it generates profit. It is not a public service no matter what Musk says. He is a salesman.
Ds are in a way better position to reign in the debt. It will take some level of tax increases no matter how the government tries to do it, and Rs can’t swallow that because they are not serious about governing. It will take comprise to handle it and Rs can’t do that, and won’t be able to for st least another generation.
If you think Twitter/X is profitable you haven’t been paying attention. And Musk overpaid for it.
If all he cared about was profitability he would have bended a knee to advertisers instead of famously telling Disney’s CEO “Go fuck yourself”.
And yeah Musk has biases like anyone else, but I don’t think any other platform holds a candle to X in terms of free speech. Substack? You tell me … where do you think free speech is flourishing?
And by the way Blaska’s blog administrators are top notch at allowing a free exchange of ideas even when some of us (looking in the mirror) can really be pricks.
When more than one idea is presented at a time, the more salient (and complicated) one if free to be left behind. Are the Ds not better equipped to handle the debt?
True X is not profitable (now). He’s working a longer term investment, I assure you.
Not sure what you mean by “better equipped” but I think Rs vs Ds is not a productive way to look at it.
It’s been the small band of “dysfunctional radical” Republicans that have been trying to hold the line on the debt ceiling but then along comes Dean Phillips who seems to be a kindred spirit for reigning in the budget and probably increasing taxes.
It would be a mistake to lump him in with his D colleagues who have been bought and paid for along with the majority of Republicans.
Young vs old may be a better division.
When Biden “won” in 2020, he didn’t have a record as President–now he does, a dismal one, so dismal, in fact, that even the MMS can’t continue to ignore it, especially the #1 issue, illegal immigration. The longer the southern border remains open, the more likely he will lose.
Yes, it’s possible. But Trump is polling within the margin of error with Biden. Nikki beats him by 17 points.
You mean the same issue that Rs also don’t have reasonable policies for? Build a wall, increase ladder sales 🙂 Your pet issue is a media-driven topic for the election year. The “liberal” media wants your views, and will provide you content tailored to your perspective. It is not anything an independent voter will pivot to the Rs over, especially not to Trump.
It’s your opinion that Biden’s record is dismal. To others it’s fine, and it is Trump with the dismal record. It cuts both ways.
“It is not anything an independent voter will pivot to the Rs over, especially not to Trump.”
Believe that at your own risk. I consume a lot of political commentary and I have heard plenty of independents say that they will swing for Trump. Plenty of them are fed up with the destructive antics of the left to the point that they will support Trump as an F.U. vote. And a lot of them feel that four years of Trump is a better option than four more years of these woke cretins further entrenching themselves in vital institutions and the decades it will take to dredge them out. And you may be fine with a compromise vote for Biden, but I know plenty of progressives that aren’t and will either stay home or vote for someone like Cornell West.
Hard core Trumpbot logic goes like this. Yes, Trump is a jerk, but he’s our jerk and Biden is so awful even the Never Trumpers will HAVE TO VOTE FOR TRUMP. Yes, they are telling the pollsters that they will not vote for him in the general election, but in the privacy of the voting booth they will secretly pull the lever for Trump because Biden is just SO BAD.
I’ve had this strategy explained to me, and it seems to be the mantra of multiple posters here. Can I just say that this thinking is rather risky. They seem to think Trump trounced HRC in 2016 rather than put together an electoral jigsaw puzzle to SQUEAK by her. You’d think losing the popular vote would have been a tipoff that it was in a shaky position, but wishful thinking in 2020 morphed into absolute PROOF that the Mastermind Biden pulled of the slickest fraud since Ponzi, and never left a trace (But, but nursing homes in Wisconsin!! Zuckerbucks!!! 2000 Mules.)
Counting on voters to hold their collective noses might work with somebody a little less repugnant than Trump. But he has managed to put himself into a whole new category at this point. He isn’t just repugnant, he is despised. My suggestion is that when somebody says they will not vote for Trump under any circumstances, you believe them.
I agree with you. Very very few are going to pivot to Trump at the last minute.
This “Biden is SO BAD” theme is manufactured by conservative media. Of course that’s the theme they are pushing, it’s their business model. I also don’t like Biden, but because he’s essentially a conservative. That’s why it’s such a stretch for conservative media and why that label is not really sticking with independents.
Biden knows he won’t have to court far left votes. Trump being the R nominee ensures that the far left will have no choice but to support Biden. Enthusiasm/turnout won’t be a problem because nothing quite animates voters like hatred of Trump. All Biden has to do is show moderate Rs and independents that his ticket will be a reasonable steward of the country. He’s already doing that and will only amp up that message over the coming months.
The choice is between a moderate person who is open to bipartisanship and an insane person with no foundational principles besides selfishness and my-way-my-way.
“This ‘Biden is SO BAD’ theme is manufactured by conservative media.”
Rollie…buddy…anyone slobbering pap like that will lie to people about other things as well.
Biden’s Third Year Job Approval WORST_SINCE_CARTER
The Gotch
Here you are attempting to lie and pretend that media doesn’t influence public opinion. If media didn’t play a major role in public opinion conservatives wouldn’t be so obsessed with it. You think people give those responses to pollsters because of their in-depth and unbiased independent research? I suppose you too will lie about anything.
“Here you are attempting to lie and pretend that media doesn’t influence public opinion. “
Those well-intended attempts have fallen short?
“If media didn’t play a major role in public opinion conservatives wouldn’t be so obsessed with it.”
PROPAGANDA and CRYSTALLIZING PUBLIC OPINION, both by the inimitable Edward Bernays and ~ 100 years old, are required reading on the subject.
“You think people give those responses to pollsters because of their in-depth and unbiased independent research?”
The Gotch has never been one to overestimate the intelligence of the American Public.
“I suppose you too will lie about anything.”
Nope, The Gotch’ll pick the Work Horse and run with it; you?
The Gotch
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/db80489dca0fd76c5a2ae290a426bc504b1176bd095bfdaca966903d06e10df0.png
Bedrock Conservative CBS canvassing in BRILLIANTLY RED New Hampshire:
CBS Anchor Admits He FAILED TO FIND A SINGLE PERSON Outside New Hampshire Grocery Store WHO FEELS GOOD ABOUT THE ECONOMY‘ After Inflation Rises To 3.4 %
DANG those Red State Conservative Yokels; don’t they know how good BiDUMBnomics are for them!!
The Gotch
2024 should be entirely different. People now understand how bad Joe really is. In 2020, Joe was the unknown “anyone but Trump” alternative. Not anymore. There is enough “Joe is woe” sentiment out there to cause many former Biden supporters to either change their mind or just stay home. Yes, Dems will try to steal the 2024 election like they did in 2020 BUT, the 100 MILLION or so folks who routinely don’t vote got a wake-up call in these last 3 years on how bad things can get with a really bad President. Some unknown percentage of all these apathetic nonvoters are going to show up in 2024 to swamp the fraud initiative. I doubt if they will be voting for Joe.
You say that as if the “anyone but Trump” voters have changed their minds, instead of increased their ranks. Joe is still not Trump.
Biden/Harris 2024! I wonder what will be left in 2028 if I’m still here?
Gonna be interesting to see how far the fear mongering goes. Come and gone:
– Trump is Hitler
– End of Democracy
At least this latest is objectively true… there will be another January 6. And 7, and 8, and 9…
I’ll float one:
– Trump is a Bears fan!
What exactly “got bad” that wouldn’t have also happened (or been worse) under Trump? This list will likely look like a bunch of things that Rs never like about Ds. Not any crazy surprises for independent voters. “OMG when I voted for Biden I never thought he would….”
What went bad? Kabul.
How would that have been different under Trump? What would have been better, what evidence supports your conclusion?
Kabul. The Iran nuclear deal. Illegal immigration. Brittney Griner. Student loan forgiveness. COVID strategy. Those are just off the top of my head.
And evryeone that buys groceries, energy pays rent or wants to buy a house.
Indeed. And waiting on his response to the attack on Tower 22, which I’m betting won’t go far enough.