But anti-Trump sentiment is strong!
The June 2023 Marquette University Law School Poll just out today finds 31% supporting former President Donald Trump and 30% supporting Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. Former Vice President Mike Pence is the choice of 6% and South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott receives 5%. A significant 21% remain on the fence. If they had to choose between Trump and DeSantis, DeSantis would prevail 57% to 41% Trump.
Forced to choose b/w the two, Republicans overwhelmingly choose the Florida governor
If the general election were held today, Biden would edge DeSantis 49% to 47%. Biden would thump Trump 52% to 43%. Ominously for Republicans, independents were breaking for Biden, 46% approving of the job the President is doing compared to only 36% approval in October 2022, the last time the question was asked.
Republicans still don’t know much about their possible U.S. Senate hopefuls in a race against incumbent Democrat Tammy Baldwin. They liked former Milwaukee sheriff David Clarke the most; 48% were favorable against 8% unfavorable. Numbers for Mike Gallagher were 27% favorable 2% unfavorable, but Gallagher has taken himself out of the race. Tom Tiffany 22 and 4; Eric Hovde 7 and 7.
Tony Evers is getting better marks; 57% of voters approve of the job Evers is doing as governor, 39% don’t. That’s up from 46% approval and 47% disapproval in October 2022. Despite the governor’s approval, 57% think the state is on the wrong track, while 40% say it is headed in the right direction — a minimal change from the October survey.
Wisconsin supports school choice
Except for the Emerald City of Madison, of course. Statewide, 54% support publicly funded vouchers to attend private or religious schools; 44% are opposed. The Madison media market has it upside down, 62% against, thereby pulling down the significant support elsewhere, as shown here. As for abortion, 66% say abortion should be legal in all or most cases, 31% say it should be illegal in all or most cases.
Blaska’s Bottom Line: Fewer than one-third of Wisconsin Republicans support Donald Trump for President despite his incredible name ID and he would lose to Joe Biden. Again.
19 responses to “Wisconsin a toss-up b/w Trump & DeSantis”
[…] This post originally appeared at https://davidblaska.com/2023/06/28/wisconsin-a-toss-up-b-w-trump-desantis/ […]
At this point in time, there is only one candidate vying for the GOP nomination that I would openly consider supporting in the 2024 Presidential race and that’s Chris Christie. I have no idea if Christie could be a winning ticket over Biden in the 2024 election but at least he’s a candidate that I would vote for, right now.
I will not vote for Donald Trump – period. I think Ron DeSantis is a political opportunist and there is something about him that has a tendency to turn me off, I can’t quite place it yet and only time will tell if that changes. Mike Pence is a perpetual pompousass with the charisma of a slug trying to crossing the I-95 corridor around Washington DC at rush hour, nobody really gives a damn about him, I won’t support him in the primary. I honestly don’t know enough about Tim Scott yet to render an informed opinion right now. Nikki Haley seems like a reasonably decent candidate but she really needs to up her rhetorical game a lot if she wants my support.
I’m with Sen. Tim Scott. IF he can get the nomination, he’ll win by 15%.
tartanmarine wrote, “I’m with Sen. Tim Scott. IF he can get the nomination, he’ll win by 15%.”
Win by 15%!?
Wow, that’s quite a prediction knowing jut how right down the middle partisan politically divided the United States is right now?
How did you come up with that percentage?
He’s get us plus a large chuck of the black vote. May pry them from the Ds for good. ~Bob
tartanmarine wrote, “He’s get us plus a large chuck of the black vote. May pry them from the Ds for good.”
I’m not buying it.
I don’t know a person that’s voted Democrat since 2008 that would ever vote Republican, even if Scott got the nomination. Look at the things Democrat’s, including black Democrats, have been calling him.
I think that’s a Magic 8 Ball kind of prediction.
we’ve never had a black conservative candidate. Maybe you don’t like this because it threatens your candidate?
tartanmarine wrote, “we’ve never had a black conservative candidate.”
In this partisan politically divided climate?
So essentially you seem to be thinking that a large chunk of black people that have voted for Democrats in the past will vote for a black Republican over a White Democrat thus drastically shifting the political pendulum of the country in one election and it’s all because of race? That makes that large chunk of crossover voters a bunch of anti-white racists.
I’m not buying it one bit. Those that have voted for Democrats since 2008, regardless of their race, won’t vote for any candidate that doesn’t have a (D) after it, they’re cultish. It really is just that simple.
tartanmarine wrote, “Maybe you don’t like this because it threatens your candidate?”
Now your trying to troll me. I’m not biting.
Nationally, according to The Economist/YouGov poll, RFK Jr takes Biden and Trump :
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4050002-rfk-jr-ranks-higher-in-favorability-vs-major-2024-candidates-poll/
Your horse in the race, Christie, -24% favorability. Chump against Trump doesn’t seem to be very popular.
You may not like Christie but do you really think Christie is a “chump”?
In this context, yes.
He has no chance of winning. He’s being used in an attempt to dethrone Trump. Christie’s no dummy, so I’m assuming he made some agreement for some future benefit if he’s successful. My guess is that Trump will pummel him, assuming Christie even makes it to the ‘ring’.
I have no love for Trump, just observing the political theatre.
Michael Leger wrote, “Christie’s no dummy, so I’m assuming he made some agreement for some future benefit if he’s successful.”
Honestly, since chump is defined as “a foolish or easily deceived person” and I think what you wrote really doesn’t put Christie into that category, I think you’re simply using the wrong word to describe Christie. Maybe a shrewd political opportunist better describes what you wrote.
I will say that “Chump against Trump” is certainly a catchy political meme awaiting in the wings for the creative attention of masters of Photoshop and I’m sure it’ll be used regularly to smear anti-Trump candidates. Did you hear/read that catchy phrase somewhere or is it an original?
Michael Leger wrote, “My guess is that Trump will pummel him…”
I think you’re grossly underestimating Christie, he’s actually quite good and very experienced at what he does. What would be more accurate is that Trump will attack Christie with ad hominems and boldly proclaim that he pummeled Christie and the Trump supporters will blindly parrot Trump’s words and likely ignore anything that Christie says. In some ways, Trump supporters have become similar to “progressive” social justice activists – cultish.
Of course you’re welcome to your opinions on these points.
I use chump here, with artistic license, to refer to those who think Christie is anything but a tool for the globalists.
Chump against Trump is mine – TM 🙂
I stand by my opinion. We can compare predictions when we get there.
Michael Leger wrote, “I use chump here, with artistic license, to refer to those who think Christie is anything but a tool for the globalists.”
Hmmm, would I be considered to be in that category? 😉
Michael Leger wrote, “Chump against Trump is mine – TM 🙂”
In the 21st century hyper extreme political climate we’re in, it’s exactly the kind of go to rhetoric that many use these days to pigeonhole opposition without any real substantive argument, so in that aspect it’s a “good” one, it’s creative and it’s catchy.
Michael Leger wrote, “We can compare predictions when we get there.”
As a general rule, I try not to make predictions and I don’t think I’ve made any predictions here. What I do choose to do is to challenge others that make predictions to support their claims.
Let me repeat what I wrote above; “I have no idea if Christie could be a winning ticket over Biden in the 2024 election but at least he’s a candidate that I would vote for, right now.”
Clump? He’s just too fat. If he was a Democrat he might get votes from the BBW/Lizzo/cardiac arrest bloc.
Christie/Lizzo sumo match would be nice undercard to Elon/Zuck fight.
Steve wrote: “Hmmm, would I be considered to be in that category? ”
Oui monsieur. As well El Blaska
I asked Michael Leger, “Hmmm, would I be considered to be in that category? ”
Michael Leger answered, “Oui monsieur. As well El Blaska”
So now you’re saying in a very literal way that you think that Blaska and I are foolish and easily deceived simply because we like Gov. Chris Christie at some political level? Well you’re welcome to your own opinion Michael but not your own facts. Your opinion is not supportable with real facts and I’d be so bold to say that it looks to me like you’re just making this up as you go, which happens to be very much like the nonsense idiotic attacks fabricated by “progressives” trying to shut down discourse or drive conversations in a different direction. It’s signature significant and shows a bit of ethical bankruptcy.
Signature Significance: Signature significance posits that a single act can be so remarkable that it has predictive and analytical value, and should not be dismissed as statistically insignificant. SOURCE
Steve – ‘a very literal way’, hmm not. Jocular in a kind way.
I am not a liberal, progressive, conservative, Republican or Democrat. The only thing I care about is who is for the common person and by extension, the United States, and done properly, for the rest of the world. Trump got closer to this than anyone since JFK. RFK Jr., imo of course, is head and shoulders above anyone else in this race.
After that, you’re reading far more into this than I am putting in.
anybody descent, but in-no-way trump, can not stand that buffoon.