A success in foreign affairs, courts & the economy
a better record on Covid than given credit
The best argument for re-electing Mr. Trump is as a brake on a Democratic Party that is increasingly radical on the economy and the culture; Mr. Biden won’t be able or willing to do it. A GOP Senate could also be that brake, though the Senate’s fate may depend on how well Mr. Trump does. Covid and partisan passions make this election even harder than usual to handicap. Voters who want a centrist President Biden should split their tickets.
If Mr. Trump does lose, and takes a Republican Senate down with him, the cause will not be weak Republicans, incompetent campaign staff, or even the relentless partisanship of the press. Joe Biden and the Democrats couldn’t make Mr. Trump the third incumbent in a century to be fired after a single term. Only Donald Trump could do that.